WEATHER: Disruptive rainfall triggers widespread Flooding and mudslides
Curious about what the skies hold? Discover the latest outlook for all nine provinces across South Africa this Thursday, 15 January 2026.
Get daily updates on temperatures, winds and UVB levels, and see what the SA Weather Service predicts for the country.
Here’s the weather outlook for South Africa’s nine provinces.
The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has issued orange Level 6, 4 and Level 9 warnings for disruptive rainfall, as well as Level 2 warnings for severe storms with heavy rain and hail on Thursday.
SEVERE WEATHER ALERTS
IMPACT-BASED WARNINGS
A. Orange Level 9 Warning for Disruptive rainfall resulting in widespread flooding of roads and settlements, widespread mudslides, rockfalls and soil erosion, danger to life due to fast flowing stream, widespread damage to property, building and loss of livelihood and livestock as well as possible widespread displacement of affected communities are expected over the eastern parts of Limpopo (Vhembe and Mopani District Municipalities) and over Mpumalanga Lowveld and escarpment (Ehlanzeni District Municipality)
B. Orange Level 6 Warning for Disruptive rainfall resulting in flooding of roads and settlements (formal and informal), mudslides rockfalls and soil erosion, danger to life due to fast flowing stream, damage to property, infrastructure, loss of Livelihood and livestock are expected over the central parts of Limpopo (parts of Capricorn and Sekhukhune District Municipalities) and eastern Highveld of Mpumalanga (Emakhazeni, Msukaligwa, Mkhondo and Chief Albert Luthuli local Municipalities).
C. Yellow Level 4 Warning for Disruptive rain with heavy downpours leading to flooding of roads and settlements, displacement of affected communities, major disruption of traffic flow due to major roads being flooded or closed is expected over the north eastern parts of KwaZulu-Natal.
D. Yellow Level 2 Warning for Disruptive rainfall resulting in localised flooding of susceptible formal/informal settlements or roads, low-lying areas and bridges, localised mudslides, rockfalls and soil erosion are expected in places over the central parts of Mpumalanga and western parts of Limpopo, excluding the extreme south-western parts.
E. Yellow level 2 warning: Severe thunderstorms with heavy downpours, damaging winds, large amounts of hail and excessive lighting leading to localised flooding and damage to settlements and infrastructure are expected over the western parts of KwaZulu-Natal.
FIRE DANGER WARNINGS
Extremely high fire danger conditions are expected over parts of the Northern Cape and the western Free State.
ADVISORIES
NIL
Weather conditions and UVB forecast in South Africa’s provinces
Gauteng
Gauteng can expect cloudy and warm with isolated showers and thundershowers.
The expected UVB Sunburn Index is High
Mpumalanga
Mpumalanga, the Place of the Rising Sun, can expect morning fog patches along the escarpment, otherwise cloudy and cool to warm with isolated to scattered showers and thundershowers but widespread in the east.
Limpopo
In Limpopo, cloudy and cool to warm with isolated to scattered showers and thundershowers, but widespread in the east.
North West
North West, known as Bokone Bophirima in Setswana, can expect partly cloudy and hot with isolated afternoon thundershowers.
Free State
In Free State, partly cloudy and hot with isolated afternoon thundershowers.
Northern Cape
The day will start fine in the central parts, otherwise partly cloudy and cool to warm but hot in the north-east with isolated thundershowers in the extreme east. The wind along the coast will be fresh to strong southerly to south-easterly.
Western Cape
Cloudy along the south coast and adjacent interior, otherwise partly cloudy and cool to warm with isolated showers and rain in the west and south but scattered along the south coast. The wind along the coast will be moderate to fresh southerly to south-easterly but strong along the west and south-west coast.
The expected UVB sunburn index is Very High
Eastern Cape
The Western half: Cloudy and cool to warm with isolated showers and rain but scattered along the coast. The wind along the coast will be fresh to strong southerly to south-easterly.
The Eastern half: The day will start cloudy and cool to warm with scattered showers and thundershowers. The wind along the coast will be fresh to strong south-westerly, becoming southerly to south-easterly from the afternoon.
KwaZulu-Natal
Morning fog patches over the southern and western interior, otherwise partly cloudy to cloudy and warm. Scattered showers and thundershowers are expected but widespread in the north-east. The wind along the coast will be moderate to fresh northerly to north-easterly, becoming light to moderate southerly to south-westerly in the south from late morning, spreading northwards while reaching fresh in places.
The expected UVB Sunburn Index is Moderate
Forecast data provided by the South African Weather Service.